• Shuvalov accused Medvedev of focusing too much on corruption. Igor Shuvalov will leave the government, Medvedev is more likely to remain He likes to live richly, because he lived poorly

    At the moment, the number of people who signed the petition for the resignation of Dmitry Medvedev from the post of Prime Minister of Russia has exceeded 200 thousand people. It would seem, what does Shuvalov have to do with it, if Medvedev says something that should not be said in public?

    The answer to this question lies in the recent interaction between Igor Shuvalov and Dmitry Medvedev, as well as in the strategy of behavior for the near future, which each of them is preparing for himself.

    Which one is more liberal?

    Despite the fact that a number of experts consider Medvedev an informal "leader" of systemic liberals, these very liberals did not have very good relations with Dmitry Anatolyevich. It is worth recalling at least the public conflict between Medvedev and Kudrin, when the latter lost his post as finance minister.

    An interesting detail in the relationship between Kudrin and Medvedev is that Dmitry Anatolyevich was essentially challenged with a claim to his seat. In other words, Kudrin almost made no secret of the fact that, as vice-premier and finance minister, he lays claim to the post of prime minister.

    The relationship between Shuvalov and Medvedev is also ambiguous. There have never been open conflicts between them, but on the other hand, there was also no particular warmth of relations.

    We can mention as an example of disagreement the situation in 2011, when Medvedev, while still president, forbade officials to enter the boards of directors of state-owned companies. However, this ban did not prevent First Deputy Prime Minister Igor Shuvalov from becoming the head of the board of directors of OAO VVTs. Thus, Igor Ivanovich violated the decree of Dmitry Anatolyevich.

    According to experts, the behavior of First Deputy Prime Minister Igor Shuvalov in the White House is very reminiscent of the activities of Vladislav Surkov, First Deputy Head of the Presidential Administration for Domestic Policy, in the Kremlin.

    Earlier in the press there were already rumors that, they say, Surkov and Shuvalov could well come to an agreement. Moreover, in exchange for guarantees that Vladislav Yuryevich would retain his seat in the Kremlin, he even offered Igor Ivanovich to become president. However, other sources indicate that Medvedev's influence can be seen here. It is difficult to say with whom the demonized ex-employee of the AP actually worked together.

    By the way, the figure of Shuvalov was considered for the presidency both in 2012, and with a high degree of probability it will be considered in 2018.

    Bulk in the service of?

    For this reason, “fights under the carpet” are beginning to take on a key importance, and the closer the date of the presidential election, the more violent and active they will be. The second position in the state after Vladimir Putin is being played out with the prospect of taking the first place.

    It was Igor Shuvalov who made the first move in this game. In the end, it is he who claims the place that Dmitry Medvedev now occupies. The FBK investigation and a short video by Alexei Navalny on the topic of "Shuvalov's dogs" and his family's overconsumption are proof of this. We have already described the scenario in which Vladimir Putin brings closer to himself those who were opposed by the liberals led by Navalny using the example of Chaika. In this case, they opposed Shuvalov, but not against Medvedev. However, there is no final clarity here.

    The fact is that the calculation could have been made to "besiege" Igor Shuvalov's premier ambitions. If you trace Navalny's activity, it becomes clear to many that his work is work, first of all, in the interests of Dmitry Medvedev.

    When someone is attacked by Navalny, this rarely leads to resignations (the “reverse” effect) - Putin cannot be pressured by public opinion. At exactly the same time, such attacks are good at upsetting ambitious officials. Suffice it to recall the information attack on the prosecutor Chaika and his family - although he did not lose his post, the prosecutor had to give up a share of his influence.

    At the same time, Shuvalov answered much more literately. With regard to the last statement, Medvedev managed to provoke a powerful campaign of not liberal protest, but public one. A petition calling for the resignation of the prime minister gained almost 200,000 signatures in two days. This suggests that the president is consciously painting a picture of how the entire society, including the potential electorate of United Russia, is opposed to Medvedev. And this is before the elections, in which the prime minister will head the list of United Russia. If the number of signatories exceeds one million, it will be publicized in all federal media. As a result, Medvedev may be removed from the post of prime minister even before the elections. Although this is the least likely scenario, which even Shuvalov himself can hardly count on.

    At the same time, Navalny and his team are opposing Shuvalov. In general, this only adds points to the vice-premier.

    The struggle for the second position in the state

    Shuvalov is counting on the time that Medvedev will be forced to go on vacation and prepare for the elections, and he will sit in the prime minister's chair as his first deputy. Then he will be able to present his development program to the president, offer ways and plans to remain in the post of prime minister after the elections. During his visit to the Sverdlovsk region, Shuvalov behaved like a full-fledged prime minister, and even more than that - many of his theses can be grouped into a full-fledged prime minister's program.

    Why is this position so important to Shuvalov? To have direct contact with the president first. And the one who has contact, to one degree or another, influences the first person in the state. But it is not Shuvalov himself who is ready to influence not the president, but those people who stand behind him. These are Anatoly Chubais and the oligarch Alexander Leonidovich Mamut, who at one time was considered "second only to Berezovsky." It was Alexander Mamut who gave Igor Shuvalov a "start in life" by placing him in 1998 closer to Anatoly Chubais as Deputy Minister of State Property of the Russian Federation, responsible for cooperation with financial institutions. With the transfer of Shuvalov to the post of prime minister, the weight of this group of "old liberals" increases dramatically.

    Thus, in the face of Shuvalov, we can see a kind of renaissance of the “old liberals” and, in part, oligarchic circles. At the same time, a balance will be maintained between the security forces and the liberals, which would be impossible if the post of prime minister went to the security officials.

    There are other people behind Medvedev. Still, he is from the "St. Petersburg" team, which at one time selected key positions from the liberals of the Yeltsin era. It should be recalled that it is precisely against the Petersburgers that Western personal sanctions have now fallen. In fact, Vladimir Putin is given a choice - to continue to support the "sanctioned" Petersburgers or turn to the old liberals like Chubais in the person of Igor Shuvalov.

    Strange as it may seem, Aleksey Kudrin's position may become decisive in this whole situation. And although he is also from the "St. Petersburg team" of the president, Kudrin never supported the security forces and other "sanctions" characters. It is possible that if Kudrin returns to the Government, then on the condition that Dmitry Anatolyevich Medvedev is not in it.

    The only catch is that Alexei Kudrin may not want to go back to the role of a subordinate to the prime minister.

    The president has not yet given an answer to the question of who will be the prime minister after the elections, which means that the struggle for the second person in the state continues. The main argument that Shuvalov uses in dealing with the president is the established contact with the West still "out of old friendship" Anatoly Chubais and his people. If Shuvalov manages to convince Vladimir Putin of the loyalty of his course, we will be able to openly observe how the current patriotic rhetoric is changing to the liberal era of the 90s.



    The leadership of the country is discussing the resignation of the First Deputy Prime Minister of the government Igor Shuvalov from his post during the May rotations. According to Dozhd's sources, they are looking for a new job for him, among the options is a post at Moscow State University. In place of Shuvalov, the candidacy of presidential aide Andrei Belousov is also being considered.

    The main reason for leaving is the desire of Shuvalov himself, his friend says. An interlocutor in the government apparatus says that the first vice-premier has long asked for resignation from President Vladimir Putin and has recently received the go-ahead. An acquaintance of the official confirms that a few years ago he wanted to either go into private business or head Vnesheconombank.

    Options for Shuvalov's future work are being discussed, he will not be left without a job, Dozhd's interlocutors assure. Among the options is a position in the management of Moscow State University, Shuvalov could lead the most important project of Moscow State University - the Scientific and Technological Valley (the Ekaterina Tikhonova Foundation, whom the media and the US Treasury called the daughter of Vladimir Putin, worked on its concept). Two people close to the government say they heard discussion that Shuvalov could replace Anatoly Chubais as head of the state corporation Rusnano. However, these discussions ended in nothing, says one of them.

    The question of who will replace Shuvalov as first deputy chairman is now being discussed. One option is presidential aide and former economy minister Andrei Belousov, says a source close to the Kremlin (this was also confirmed by a source in the government apparatus).

    According to Dozhd's sources, Medvedev himself will keep his post. Deputy Prime Minister Arkady Dvorkovich, who is close to him, will also remain in the government. While everything goes to ensure that the backbone of the team will remain, in the face of sanctions and external pressure, Putin is unlikely to want to make drastic changes, a source in the White House believes. However, Dvorkovich's powers will be curtailed, sources say. Now 11 sectors of the economy are assigned to it, including the fuel and energy complex, agriculture, transport, science and innovation, and communications. That Dvorkovich may be "overworked" was suggested by Putin last year when he criticized officials for their actions during the development of the VIM-Avia scandal.

    With a high degree of probability, Finance Minister Anton Siluanov and Economic Development Minister Maxim Oreshkin will remain in their positions, interlocutors predict: the first is an experienced official of the Ministry of Finance, and Bloomberg called the young head of the Ministry of Economic Development Vladimir Putin's favorite.

    If Rain is to be believed, the reformatting of the government will take place, but the key figures will remain. and above all - this is Prime Minister Medvedev. So, cardinal changes in the cabinet's economic policy are hardly to be expected.

    Of course, while these are rumors and gossip, persons who wished to remain anonymous. But in good Soviet tradition, all fights take place under the carpet, so the final result becomes known only at the moment of removal of the body.

    However, the fact that some influential bodies want to leave the team - such things are always symptomatic.

    During his presidency, Dmitry Medvedev "exaggerated the topic of corruption, brought attention to it to the point of excessive attention," Deputy Prime Minister Igor Shuvalov said at a meeting of the Valdai discussion club, quoted by the Metodichka telegram channel. The club meeting is held in Sochi on October 24-27, the media drew attention to Shuvalov's statement about Medvedev on the morning of October 27.

    “What a characteristic attack sounded right now from Igor Ivanovich Shuvalov to the immediate supervisor at the Valdai Forum:

    "When Dmitry Medvedev was president - don't be offended if they tell him - he exaggerated the topic of corruption, brought attention to it to the extreme."

    The agencies are silent for now, but you and I understand that this is a quote of the day (week, month)."

    We have created a chat in Telegram for the rapid exchange of news. If you have witnessed an event or just discovered important news, please send it here as soon as possible:

    During his speech at the Sochi Valdai Forum on October 25, Deputy Prime Minister Igor SHUVALOV criticized Russian Prime Minister Dmitry MEDVEDEV.

    “When Dmitry Medvedev was president, let him not be offended if they tell him, he exaggerated the topic of corruption, brought attention to it to an excessive level,” the Metodichka channel in Telegram quotes Igor Shuvalov.

    On the Telegram channel, where the text broadcast of the event was conducted, it is noted that “agencies (informational - ed. note) while they are silent, but you and I understand that this is a quote of the day (week, month). Indeed, if you use the Yandex.News aggregator, then you can find news with this quote (as of 15:00 on October 27) only on small media resources. The federal media ignored Shuvalov's statement.

    Medvedev vs corruption

    Recall that Dmitry Medvedev was the President of Russia from 2008 to 2012. Under Medvedev, in 2008, the Anti-Corruption Council was created, an anti-corruption plan was approved, and a package of relevant laws was adopted. IN 2012 Medvedev approved the National Anti-Corruption Plan for 2012-2013. The plan called for tighter control over the spending of civil servants.

    Dmitry Medvedev loudly spoke about the problem of corruption in the country at a meeting of the Anti-Corruption Council September 30, 2008, noting its "large-scale nature":

    “It has become a habitual, everyday phenomenon that characterizes the very life of our society. This is not just about banal bribes, it's about a serious illness that eats up our economy and corrupts the entire society, ”Dmitry Medvedev said at that meeting.

    He also announced the strengthening of the legal system as the most important direction in combating corruption.

    Shuvalov and corruption

    Igor Shuvalov is one of the richest members of the government. From the information published on the government website, it follows that last year he earned a little more 97 million rubles. Compared to this, the income of his boss Dmitry Medvedev turned out to be ridiculous 8.7 million rubles.

    The Deputy Prime Minister and his wife own four apartments in Russia with an area of from 73.8 to 175.7 m². In addition, the Deputy Prime Minister has real estate abroad: a house in Austria with an area of 1480 m² and an apartment in the UK with an area 483 m².

    It should be noted that Igor Shuvalov has repeatedly become the "hero" of the investigative publications of the Anti-Corruption Foundation of Alexei Navalny. First, the FBK found a spacious room at Shuvalov's (500 m²) apartment in London, and later reported ten apartments bought up in a high-rise building on Kotelnicheskaya embankment. The cost of apartments in the "high-rise" alone was estimated at 600 million rubles.

    The First Deputy Chairman of the Government of the Russian Federation has long been claiming a promotion, this is widely discussed in the media and on the sidelines of the Russian elites. It is highly likely that we will soon see him as a candidate for the country's top leadership position.

    Recall that the Shuvalov couple is. They own the former state dacha in Zarechye, which once belonged to the Minister of Foreign Affairs of the USSR GROMYKO.

    Also, Mr. Shuvalov is the chairman of the government commission of the Housing Development Fund (RHD). RHD holds auctions for the sale of federal land for development. The commission is infamous for the sale of agricultural land in the Odintsovo district for development.

    Vice Prime Minister - orator

    Shuvalov is known for his ambiguous statements.

    On excesses in the fight against corruption:

    - It seems to me that it has reached the point where not quite reasonable norms of behavior regarding some kind of foreign property and so on have begun to be accepted. The next number of the program will be that - I worked in business for a year, you probably stole something somewhere? So, you cannot be a State Duma deputy, a minister. These are far-reaching things, it is impossible to think all the time that everyone around is crooks, and people who have money should not be allowed to solve problems. And who then will solve these problems? Therefore, we slightly brought this problem to a level that is already dangerous for us.

    About freedom:

    “Absolute freedom, the freedom that they try to impose on us, freedom from the mind of the media, freedom to offend – this is not freedom, because there is no cultural framework.

    About the popularity of apartments with a size of 20 m². among Russians:

    “Today we were shown apartments of 20 square meters, it seems ridiculous, but people buy such housing and it is very popular and there is a niche for such housing on the market.

    On the devotion of the Russian people:

    - If a Russian feels any pressure from outside, he will never give up his leader. Despite any hardship.

    https://www.site/2016-08-10/podopleka_skandalov_vokrug_medvedeva_shuvalova_i_sechina_konflikt_v_okruzhenii_putina

    "There is a fight of all against all"

    The background of the scandals around Medvedev, Shuvalov and Sechin: the conflict surrounded by Putin

    Dmitry Astakhov/RIA Novosti

    In recent weeks, the Russian political establishment has seen an aggravation of conflicts around several "heavyweights" from the White House at once. A week ago, the site talked about the confrontation between the social bloc of the government and the financial and economic one. The next was the aggravation of the situation around the First Deputy Prime Minister of the government, Igor Shuvalov, who is responsible for finance and state property. Instability also formed around Prime Minister Dmitry Medvedev. And although it can be said that officials themselves are to blame for their troubles, the weakening of Shuvalov and Medvedev has beneficiaries who will definitely try to take advantage of the situation. the site spoke to sources and experts to learn about what is going on in the government.

    Who bothers Shuvalov: five versions

    The Anti-Corruption Foundation (FBK) has been fighting Igor Shuvalov for a long time. FBK published information about his house in London, expensive cars, a huge apartment on Kotelnicheskaya embankment, and so on.

    The latest and loudest was the investigation of Igor Shuvalov's plane. From the publication of Alexei Navalny, it turned out that the official uses an undeclared Bombardier Global Express private jet worth $50 million, and his wife takes the jet to corgi dog shows. The FBK’s investigation was quite convincing: using information from open sources, Navalny’s team compared the data on the flights of the aircraft with tail number M-VQBI and the Prime Minister’s business trips and found a lot of evidence. In addition, Navalny tracked the plane's flights to Salzburg, where the Shuvalovs have a mansion, and to European dog shows.

    The scandal raged for several days, after which Alexei Venediktov, editor-in-chief of Ekho Moskvy, spoke in defense of the vice-premier. Referring to some documents in his possession and “conversations with various people,” he confirmed that the plane was used by the Shuvalov family, but did not belong to the Deputy Prime Minister himself, but to his adult son Yevgeny. The plane was bought in 2009 after the Shuvalovs' successful investment in Gazprom shares. Therefore, Venediktov pointed out, Shuvalov did not violate the law, he was not obliged to declare the aircraft, and what is the moral side of the matter is a second question.

    Irina Bujor/Kommersant

    Igor Shuvalov oversees the financial and economic block in the government, investments, migration, foreign policy, privatization of state-owned companies, credit policy, as well as preparations for the World Cup. He has enough enemies, sources close to the government say, and they say that almost anyone could send initial information to the FBK address to launch an investigation.

    “Now everyone is just discussing who could have initiated the investigation, and they are whispering different names,” says a source close to the federal official. Another source says that a number of political scientists have received a task in recent weeks: to prepare “for senior officials” an analytic on the activities of the Anti-Corruption Foundation regarding deputy prime ministers: which of them are being investigated, who are not being touched, who Navalny just blogs about .

    “The fact is that not a single Russian Deputy Prime Minister flies in the economy class of scheduled aircraft. At least two more of the eight vice-premiers fly by private aircraft, but it was Shuvalov who attracted the attention of the Anti-Corruption Foundation, ”a source close to the White House explains the motivation for the order. He adds that at the highest level, Shuvalov's explanations, which were voiced by Venediktov, were considered convincing, and FBK publications were considered a political order.

    Speaking about the beneficiaries of the scandal, the site’s interlocutors name the main behind-the-scenes versions, based on information about Shuvalov’s work conflicts.

    The first version is financial and economic. Shuvalov's opponent, who is considered a supporter of a liberal economic approach to the economy, is presidential adviser Andrei Belousov, who previously served as minister of economic development. Just a week ago, Belousov presented President Vladimir Putin with a report from the Stolypin Club, which offers an alternative strategy for economic development. In particular, the report proposed to inject money from the budget into the economy by issuing the Central Bank for 1.5 trillion rubles and thus stimulate growth.

    “There is a fierce struggle for influence over Putin and the creation of a program of strategic changes in the economy,” explains one of the sources close to the financial and economic bloc of the government.

    The second version is privatization. As already mentioned, Shuvalov oversees the management of state property in the government. Currently, work is underway to privatize Bashneft. It is known that Shuvalov opposed the participation of Rosneft, headed by Putin's influential ally Igor Sechin, in the privatization of Bashneft. On Tuesday, it became known that President Vladimir Putin had rejected Sechin's request for Rosneft's admission to the privatization of Bashneft. Thus, Shuvalov's position won. At the same time, after the closing of the deal with the privatization of Bashneft, Rosneft will also be privatized.

    One of the conflicts around Shuvalov is related to Sechin's attempts to influence the Bashneft privatization process.

    Finally, the third version is built around a number of conflicts between Deputy Prime Minister Shuvalov and various serious clans in state corporations and large FIGs. For example, you can remember Shuvalov's difficult relationship with Russian Railways and its ex-head Vladimir Yakunin. At the end of 2011, the Federal Antimonopoly Service found violations in the interaction of Russian Railways with subsidiaries and customers, as a result, the company was fined 2.24 billion rubles. In 2013, Medvedev instructed Shuvalov and the head of the FAS, Igor Artemyev, to look into the situation, after which Yakunin appealed personally to Medvedev, demanding that the government either return 350,000 wagons transferred to subsidiaries or compensate for losses. In mid-2015, Yakunin resigned, but this should not be considered a personal victory for Shuvalov - Yakunin had difficult relations with the government as a whole (Yakunin's reputation, by the way, also suffered greatly after Navalny's anti-corruption investigations).

    Another major conflict, in the center of which Shuvalov is personally located, is connected with gambling business. Shuvalov has long been lobbying for amendments to the law "On Lotteries", suggesting the introduction of state-run lotteries using electronic lottery tickets and video terminals, as well as creating a unified system for accounting for the production and sale of lottery tickets. Shuvalov's opponents accuse him of wanting to monopolize the market and intending to bring back the "one-armed bandits" from the 90s. His supporters object that “one-armed bandits” will not be allowed to bet outside the gambling zones, and the amendments will remove black cash from the market.

    Another highly controversial story is connected with the pharmaceutical sector. the site previously reported that the government's social bloc supported the idea of ​​import substitution in the pharmaceutical sector and the creation of non-competitive conditions for drugs manufactured in Russia, despite the protests of patients, doctors and businessmen. It is believed that the influential state corporation Rostekhnologii has become the main beneficiary of this government decision. Shuvalov, on the other hand, advocates the centralization of purchases, excluding the situation in which a domestic drug is purchased at a price twice as expensive as an imported analogue. Opponents of the Deputy Prime Minister talk about the need for import substitution and the development of their own medicinal sector, his supporters talk about non-market profits of a number of players and the arbitrariness of regional authorities in public procurement.

    "But you hold on": Medvedev's problems and the postponement of the presidential election

    With Dmitry Medvedev, the situation is developing differently. It was not someone else's investigations that weakened his reputation, but his own careless statements. At first, he admitted to the Crimean pensioners that the government had no money, but asked them to "hold on." Then he suggested that teachers who were dissatisfied with their salaries go into business. At the same time, it seemed that in both cases the prime minister spoke with complete sincerity. But in Russia, officials of this rank are not accustomed to hearing the naked truth, so the public responded to Medvedev's words with exceptionally malicious irony. Interestingly, the petition for his resignation on Change.Org quickly gained 250,000 signatures, despite the summer season. Sources of the site, close to the presidential administration, believe that this is impossible without an administrative resource.

    Alexander Miridonov/Kommersant

    The source in the Kremlin said that he sees behind these events a desire to weaken the prime minister and the United Russia party on the eve of the elections, suggesting that this could be beneficial to those "who themselves would like to take the post of prime minister." “He spoke openly and freely, explaining his own path - at first he taught, but then he went into business to make money. In addition, it was a meeting with teachers of economic sciences, who just teach how to do business, and do not go into business, that is, they work by vocation, ”the source added.

    Politically, the beneficiaries of the weakening of United Russia are, first of all, the Communist Party of the Russian Federation and Just Russia, which position themselves as parties that support Vladimir Putin, but criticize the government and Dmitry Medvedev.

    Site sources unanimously agree that almost all other political heavyweights are Medvedev's ill-wishers. Among the potential contenders for the premier's chair are also the ex-minister of finance, now deputy head of the Economic Council under President Alexei Kudrin, and the head of the presidential administration, Sergei Ivanov, and the same Shuvalov, and Belousov, and Sergei Shoigu and even Moscow Mayor Sergei Sobyanin. The interlocutors also draw attention to a recent article in the Internet publication "Snob" by the famous political scientist Vladislav Inozemtsev "How Medvedev became the main oppositionist." In it, the author notes that Medvedev is an extremely underestimated politician by his contemporaries, in contrast to the overestimated, in the author's opinion, Kudrin. Inozemtsev reminds critics of the head of government that Medvedev announced a course towards modernizing the economy, was a supporter of rapprochement with the West, liberalized the party system at the end of his presidential term, decriminalized a number of articles of the criminal code and met the demands of the protesters on Bolotnaya Square. Inozemtsev recalls that there were no corruption scandals around Medvedev, his family and he himself do not lead a defiantly luxurious lifestyle and do not have secret business with criminals, like some other members of the Russian establishment.

    Two interlocutors of the site believe that the aggravation around the head of government may be due to rumors in the political establishment about a possible postponement of the presidential election from 2018 to 2017. In this regard, the struggle for the post of head of the future government of Vladimir Putin in his next presidential term is intensifying (no one doubts that Putin will run for a new term).

    "The game is connected with the events after the presidential elections"

    Alexei Makarkin, vice president of the Center for Political Technologies, believes that it would be too easy to explain the attack on Medvedev only by the upcoming elections, given the events around Shuvalov and the Novaya Gazeta publication about a luxury yacht that Igor Sechin's wife may use.

    “I think if this game is connected with the elections, then indirectly. People who watched such a video about Medvedev and signed a petition for his resignation were hardly going to vote for United Russia anyway. The electorate of "United Russia" receives information from the TV, and is critical of the Internet if the information that sounds there does not match the TV screen. I think it's more about preparing for events that will take place not even after the parliamentary, but after the presidential elections when a new government is being formed, when the question arises of who will be the prime minister and what the government's program will be. The same Shuvalov is traditionally considered one of the contenders. The players of the fuel and energy complex, for example, Sechin, may have their own interests. The closer the presidential elections are, the more scandals there will be,” Makarkin said.

    Dmitry Azarov/Kommersant

    Political scientist Stanislav Belkovsky notes that in the tradition of the Russian political system, an external attack is beneficial to those who are attacked. And the fact that Medvedev told the truth in both cases, Putin can count as a plus.

    “As for Shuvalov, he has many enemies, from Sechin to Medvedev. He harbors premier ambitions - in my opinion, in vain, - says Belkovsky. - But the current confrontation is incomparable with the confrontation in 2011, when there was a big ferment of minds. Now there is no political ferment, there is apparatus ferment. The food base has been reduced, there is less money, and the cash struggle is escalating. At the same time, Putin, as a key subject of the system, is weary of old friends, he wants to have subjects, but not influential friends. All authoritarian regimes go this way. And the most inviolable in this new system is Medvedev, who made his sacrifice in 2011 by refusing to run for a new presidential term, although no one in his place would have conceded this post, ”reasons Belkovsky.

    The economic crisis is intensifying, there is less and less money, and although no one in the elite disputes the dominance of Vladimir Putin, everyone is preparing to fight against the backdrop of personnel reshuffles that have begun, said Igor Bunin, head of the Center for Political Technologies. “The strategy of where to move the country is not clear, so there is a struggle of all against all, until the president sets priorities at the highest personnel level,” Bunin notes.